Analysis of the future methods

Analysis of the future methods

The methodology of forecasting of society on the basis of research of ways the positive and negative development: Problems and issues. How to develop a social – natural evolution (economically) or direct social scientific (spiritual) ideas?

Is there any means of influencing positive social development (crisis-free development)?

Guess the right answer: there is a social evolution, and it moves organically from search chaos into an organized search structure in crisis situations. Run this process natural leaders of society who try to solve the problem of economic survival of the society through the formation of social consciousness or the military-economic machine. Is it really so?

Problems of studies of society and the way methodologies
Method of forecasting of society and the definition of effective means of sustained economic development based on positive and negative development paths
 Method of management of the Corporation on the basis of maximization used.


Abstract

A new direction of research of the microworld includes tools and tools, able to replace humans in conditions of short time processes in micro - and nanosystems.. In such circumstances, information technology is intellectual, and therefore able to make decisions and learn in the process of processing the experimental results.


Modern technologies as a tool to study the microcosm

 New technology is often understood as information technology in manufacturing has moved not only into our consciousness as a mass communications and quality management, but also as something not so ordinary and everyday, but as an intellectual technology, which themselves have to do everything yourself to automate. In the understanding of the modern specialist and Manager of information technology is finally formed in their production processes and technical tools and systems are ready to work, configured, and does not require anything that is able to provide any information and any form of accountability. Such an understanding and often the inability to work with the hardware, lack of knowledge of the internal algorithms of the production processes, makes professionals and managers the usual extras, enjoying prepared for them by programmers reports and tools. Therefore, in the present technology are so important to setting goals and objectives for automation, including the provision of funds to the corrections and tuning systems for professionals and managers. In science and education, the same problems are solved by scientists who have successfully mastered complicated information technology. A new direction of research of the micro world, new means of knowledge, demanded to go to the realization that information technology should be intelligent, and therefore able to make decisions and learn. This understanding is laid down in artificial intelligence: direction, long-studied and controversial so far. Some scientists (psychologists, philosophers and religious scholars) say about the inability of artificial intelligence to consciousness and understanding, which is confirmed by contemporary technology, only repeating the algorithm works, laid in them, or is able to make selections from databases and knowledge bases containing the accumulated personnel (managers, experts) knowledge. Other scientists who understand deeply the processes of heuristic algorithms, self-learning and self-knowledge, setting new objectives to meet programmed objectives (for example, the movie "I – robot", dir. Steven Spielberg), talking about self-learning artificial intelligence.

 In any case, consciousness is a phenomenon not studied by anyone so far, but accept as fact of the personality and intellect of a living being, in this case person. Technical understanding – communicative Association of nature with the expression of personal characteristics. However, the transfer of modern technologies from automated systems (Ideas, machines, ideas factories machines 50-70-ies For the failure in control systems is not responsible one.) to the automated control systems (70-90-ies. For a failure in the automated control systems are met by the system or the programmer-setter.) and information technology (90-2000-ies For a decision, and the failure of responsible people.) speaks not only of the partnership of man and computer, but it is not sensitive enough bodies for understanding the world and transforming it. People cannot handle monotone systematic multidimensional arrays of information here and the tool is the computer and automation technology communications. With the emergence in 1946 of the information explosion [1] the growth of streams of source information and the need of algorithms of processing increased. In connection with this came the development of a science such as logistics and econometrics. With the emergence of information technology management (IUT a new quality) and the recognition of them as the required standard for production control [2] possibility of an innovative approach to industrial production, business, education, management of large social facilities and scientific knowledge. However, the process of integration into any production and management was complex and difficult for humans and for existing production technologies. Not always, this process was cost-effective, for example, medium and large enterprises in the implementation of ITU estimated 50% as a loss. The reasons are many and one of them - the shortage of skilled specialists, lack of understanding of the goals and objectives of transformation management processes.

 New scientific direction has received the technology for the evaluation and management of the process of learning and experiment, but even there, most of the process takes a time of adjustment and transformation of the results of the experiment. That is, since the 70-ies of the last century when a scientist become a programmer and to the modern stage production, little has changed in the technology of knowledge with the help of automation. But history suggests why: when we created the information system, the aim was to unite communications and automation. Since the microprocessor revolution of 1975, the process has changed, the need for automation of work of specialists. Since 1990-ies of the last century, the revolution of graphic shells (superstructure over existing operating systems), the purpose was to ease and simplify the work of a specialist. Since the 1989 revolution technologies for the processing of hypertext and a global network the Internet (the global database), the release in 1995 in commercial use, the situation has not changed. But the end justify the means – the freedom of exchange of information allowed us to deploy technical resources in each sector of human activity. However, shortcomings remain, the protocols of the network since 1972 and has not changed. Only changed the amount of information and the time of treatment for each individual. And in this process in 2010 without intellectualization of information technologies is not enough. Artificial intelligence technology is beginning to be the only alternative. [3]

 Automate technology, where the dimensions of the tools are measured in nanometers – the problem is just the power system, where the technical system goals and objectives. After all, thousands of operations and thousands of processes at molecular level without technical (intellectual) systems, make a person incapable of managing and creating natural phenomena.


The project of creation of new superconducting, ultra-light shieldable materials with the help of nanorobots

 Nanobot – independent technical (smart) system small size, designed to fulfill the goals and address emerging challenges at the micro level. Since nanobots are not always able to make strategic decisions, manage the artificial intelligence that controls the process of the experiment.

When you create ultra-light material at the initial stage will have to apply the weaving methods of weaving nanowires (nanotubes), and further already to move to change the structure of the atomic lattice of the molecules of a substance.

 Structure of matter, generated with the help of nanobots and nanotechnology include the processes of control of each unit (molecule) of the substance, a new form of which it is impossible to create any other way. For example, bombarding a target made of metal, scientists are trying to find traces of substances, time of life are low. But the new structure not found in nature, with a new crystal lattice, it is impossible to create without constructing each crystal and each stable molecules of a substance. This applies to such active chemical elements such as fluorine.

 In electronics, the ability to weave electric and dielectric strands interspersed with semiconductors will determine the possibility of creating new electronic systems of the micro-level, which can be the basis of nanobots that control the connections and interactions of matter.

In medicine in General this cannot be done without nanobots: nanobots will be able to partially replace the functions of erythrocytes and leucocytes, to replace the functionality of some glands, chemically developing and monitoring standards are necessary substance in the blood.

 Another direction of research using nanorobots prolongation of life of human cells and the man himself, correcting some fragments of DNA and RNA.

Of course, Whoever wrote the program DNA, we don't all software "source code", but to explore the possibilities of correcting hereditary diseases, the improvement of some feature of the person is achievable. But this topic of a separate study.

 Periodic table does not offer the format of the new structures of organic substances and their compounds with inorganic substances that can be created using technologies nanoconnections of atoms in the new structure. In such structures, perhaps, to lay the effects of superconductivity at temperatures of about 270-300 Kelvin. But to extend the table, exploring the short-lived chemical elements possible.